With Clermont making a solid start to the season, we expect them to win this one without too much trouble.
The home side were 3-1 victors against Ajaccio, who were promoted to Ligue 1 alongside Auxerre last season, in their last match and so they should be expected to win in similar fashion here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
