Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 12.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.62%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match.