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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 2, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Gaston GĂ©rard
ML

Dijon
1 - 5
Metz

Gueye (37'), Sarr (42'), Balde (48'), Chafik (71' og.), Goncalves (82'), Bronn (85')
Ndiaga Yade (5'), Lautoa (83')
Celina (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Dijon win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
DijonDrawMetz
28.39%27.36%44.25%
Both teams to score 47.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41%57.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63%78.36%
Dijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1%35.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.67%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12%25.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14%60.86%
Score Analysis
    Dijon 28.39%
    Metz 44.25%
    Draw 27.35%
DijonDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 6.59%
2-0 @ 4.88%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 28.39%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 12.55%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.25%

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