Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-3 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.