Although Lille remain unbeaten in 2023-24, Fonseca's side have not been overly convincing during the early stages of the season, relying on late goals to get results. Given that Lorient have recorded a couple of low-scoring draws this term - preventing PSG and Nice from winning - we can see the hosts picking up another point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Lille
18.05% ( 0.23)	23.54% ( 0.28)	58.4% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 46.84% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.45% (

-0.75)

52.55% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.79% (

-0.65)

74.21% (

0.64)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.95% (

-0.16)

43.05% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.67% (

-0.14)

79.33% (

0.13)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

-0.45)

17.74% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57% (

-0.79)

48.42% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Lorient 18.05%

Lille 58.39%

Draw 23.54%

Lorient	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.05%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.54%	0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 58.39%