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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
L

Lorient
4 - 1
Lille

Abergel (9'), Ponceau (10'), Faivre (62'), Le Goff (67')
Pagis (49'), Doucoure (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
David (55')
Yoro (15'), Diakite (27'), Andre (51'), Yazici (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Nice
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Rijeka
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Lorient 1-1 Lille

Although Lille remain unbeaten in 2023-24, Fonseca's side have not been overly convincing during the early stages of the season, relying on late goals to get results. Given that Lorient have recorded a couple of low-scoring draws this term - preventing PSG and Nice from winning - we can see the hosts picking up another point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawLille
18.05% (0.231 0.23) 23.54% (0.277 0.28) 58.4% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (-0.746 -0.75)52.55% (0.745 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (-0.645 -0.65)74.21% (0.643 0.64)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.16 -0.16)43.05% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.136 -0.14)79.33% (0.134 0.13)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)17.74% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.791 -0.79)48.42% (0.79 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 18.05%
    Lille 58.39%
    Draw 23.54%
LorientDrawLille
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.69% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 13.2% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.58% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 58.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Nice
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-3 Lens
Sunday, May 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Rijeka
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Lille
Saturday, August 5 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lille
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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