An inspired Oukidja was the main reason for Lens' failure to make the net ripple at the weekend, but the Openda-less visitors have struggled for attacking inspiration all season long and are unlikely to turn their fortunes around against a Ramos-marshalled Sevilla backline.
While Mendilibar's side have flattered to deceive on the domestic front too, morale will be higher in the hosts' camp thanks to their belated opening victory, and the Europa League winners' greater continental nous should also help them on their way to a narrow win in Group B.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
