SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
47.15% ( -0.01) | 23.54% | 29.3% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0) | 41.28% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( 0) | 63.67% ( -0) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( -0) | 17.74% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.57% ( -0.01) | 48.42% ( 0.01) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.01) | 26.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( 0.01) | 62.05% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.79% Total : 47.15% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.3% |
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