We said: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Nantes starting the day above Lille in the table truly represents the champions' alarming fall from grace, but Gourvennec will hope to see his side take inspiration from their positive results in Europe.
Having struggled to make a game of it against PSG with a man advantage, Nantes' poor fortunes on the road are set to continue as Lille - boosted by some key returns - continue their unbeaten streak at home.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.