Paris Saint-Germain already look rejuvenated under Galtier, who appears to be unlocking all of their stars, and, although they face their toughest test yet, we still predict a victory for Les Parisiens. Fonseca's side should cause their opponents problems, but we see the visitors outclassing them and returning to the capital with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Lille win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
20.47% ( 0.38)	21.88% ( 0.16)	57.64% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

-0.2)

42.21% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.38% (

-0.2)

64.61% (

0.2)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.59% (

0.26)

34.4% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.88% (

0.28)

71.11% (

-0.28)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59% (

-0.24)

14.4% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.69% (

-0.46)

42.31% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Lille 20.47%

Paris Saint-Germain 57.64%

Draw 21.88%

Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 20.47%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 57.64%