After a solid 5-0 win last time out, Rennes are expected to follow that up with another victory against a side in the bottom half of the table and low on confidence.
Their contrasting league positions make the hosts strong favourites for this tie, and Saint-Etienne are certain to be in for a tough test this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 77.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.95%) and 1-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.
