SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Monaco |
49.46% ( -0.01) | 22.91% ( -0) | 27.62% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.02) | 39.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( 0.03) | 61.78% ( -0.03) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( 0.01) | 16.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.35% ( 0.01) | 45.65% ( -0.01) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( 0.02) | 26.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( 0.03) | 62.32% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.56% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.62% |
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