SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
35.85% ( -0.94) | 24.18% ( -0.32) | 39.97% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.65% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% ( 1.44) | 41.87% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.72% ( 1.44) | 64.27% ( -1.44) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.15) | 23.15% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 0.23) | 57.02% ( -0.24) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( 1.24) | 21.07% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( 1.9) | 53.89% ( -1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.97% |
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