SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Lens had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Arsenal |
34.44% ( 0.99) | 26.49% ( -0.37) | 39.07% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( 1.65) | 52.4% ( -1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( 1.4) | 74.08% ( -1.4) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 1.45) | 28.95% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% ( 1.77) | 64.83% ( -1.77) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( 0.42) | 26.23% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( 0.56) | 61.34% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.44% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
