Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 27.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
