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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
L

Lorient
2 - 1
Lille

Lauriente (7'), Moffi (87')
Abergel (34'), Boisgard (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yilmaz (25' pen.)
Gomes (44'), Xeka (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawLille
27.46%28.22%44.32%
Both teams to score 44.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.99%61.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19%81%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47%38.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72%75.28%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56%27.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08%62.91%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 27.46%
    Lille 44.31%
    Draw 28.21%
LorientDrawLille
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-0 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.46%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 13.67%
0-2 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-3 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 44.31%

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