Despite having plenty of experienced players and lots of quality, Lyon still seem to be searching for their identity under Blanc.
Brest do not possess nearly as much talent on paper as their opponents but have been sharper along the back end at home in league play, and they seem to be able to handle OL when they come to town.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
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