Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 12.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
