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M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
L

Marseille
1 - 1
Lyon

Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLyon
22.04%22.24%55.72%
Both teams to score 57.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18%41.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78%64.22%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3%32.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74%69.25%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11%14.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76%43.24%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 22.04%
    Lyon 55.72%
    Draw 22.24%
MarseilleDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.79%
1-0 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.04%
1-1 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 5.52%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.27%
0-2 @ 8.83%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-3 @ 5.61%
2-3 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 2.99%
0-4 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.14%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 55.72%

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