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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
M

Brest
1 - 1
Marseille

Lees-Melou (61')
Der Zakarian (29'), Belaili (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tavares (38')
Milik (17'), Gerson (57'), Rongier (65'), Guendouzi (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-2 Brest
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Reims
Sunday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-3 Marseille

A clash between two sides who simply love to attack has all the makings of an enthralling affair this weekend, unless the footballing gods throw a drab goalless stalemate our way. Such an eventuality should not occur at the Stade Francis Le-Ble, where a full-strength Marseille side ought to march to their second win of the season in convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawMarseille
30.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 43.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)57.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 30.36%
    Marseille 43.71%
    Draw 25.91%
BrestDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 10.53%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Brest
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-2 Brest
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Clermont
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Reims
Sunday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-2 AC Milan
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Marseille
Friday, July 22 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, July 16 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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