Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
24.65% ( -0.02) | 23.74% ( 0) | 51.61% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.48% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% ( -0.03) | 45.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.96% ( -0.02) | 68.03% ( 0.02) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( -0.03) | 32.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.03) | 69.1% ( 0.03) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% ( -0.01) | 17.72% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.6% ( -0.01) | 48.39% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 24.65% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 51.61% |
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