Despite missing several players through injury, there is little doubt that Lens head into this cup tie in better form than Nantes, and as such we expect them to book their place in the semi-finals of the competition.
However, Haise's side have been considerably stronger at home than on the road this season, so we think that they will be pushed hard by the holders, who will be determined to retain the Coupe de France.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0) 
