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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
N

Lens
3 - 1
Nantes

Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mollet (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes

Neither side have much urgency to move the ball up the field quickly, and with two teams who are calculated in their approach and very well-organised, we expect to see a stalemate with chances at a premium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawNantes
50.69% (0.65300000000001 0.65) 25.63% (-0.21 -0.21) 23.67% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 48.63% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.413 0.41)54.25% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.345 0.34)75.65% (-0.346 -0.35)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.45099999999999 0.45)21.43% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (0.691 0.69)54.44% (-0.693 -0.69)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89% (-0.18 -0.18)38.11% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (-0.173 -0.17)74.87% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.69%
    Nantes 23.67%
    Draw 25.62%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.69%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, February 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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