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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 20, 2021 at 4pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
M

Nantes
1 - 1
Marseille

Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 27.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
27.87%29.01%43.12%
Both teams to score 42.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.64%63.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.28%82.72%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5%39.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81%76.19%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85%65.15%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 27.86%
    Marseille 43.11%
    Draw 29%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.86%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 14.19%
0-2 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-3 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.1%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 43.11%

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