SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.28% ( 0.28) | 15.82% ( 0.24) | 73.9% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.71% ( -0.27) | 35.28% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.69% ( -0.3) | 57.3% ( 0.29) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( 0.36) | 43.69% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.12% ( 0.3) | 79.87% ( -0.3) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.83% ( -0.17) | 8.17% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.37% ( -0.44) | 28.62% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.28% | 1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.82% | 0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 9.35% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.74% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.86% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 4.85% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 2.93% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 73.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
