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JL
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Juventus Stadium
PL

Juventus
1 - 2
PSG

Bonucci (39')
Gatti (15'), Milik (45+2'), Fagioli (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbappe (13'), Mendes (69')
Verratti (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG cannot always rely on their talented forward line to drag them out of trouble, but Juventus are in big trouble themselves, with Allegri's injury crisis worsening by the week. Even without Vlahovic, the hosts can feel confident about breaching the Parisiens' leaky backline at a ground where goals have been aplenty, but a full-strength PSG can expose a weakened Juventus XI themselves to finish first and leave the Old Lady at risk of no European football after the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
JuventusDrawParis Saint-Germain
35.44% (-0.28 -0.28) 23.68% (0.044 0.04) 40.87% (0.232 0.23)
Both teams to score 62.44% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.49% (-0.274 -0.27)39.5% (0.271 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.15% (-0.287 -0.29)61.85% (0.285 0.28)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (-0.274 -0.27)22.28% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (-0.409 -0.41)55.74% (0.406 0.41)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)19.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)51.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 35.44%
    Paris Saint-Germain 40.87%
    Draw 23.67%
JuventusDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.57% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.44%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 4-3 Juventus
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Empoli
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Juventus
Tuesday, October 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Troyes
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 7-2 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 PSG
Friday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Benfica
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Reims 0-0 PSG
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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