SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 86.96%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 4.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.2%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-2 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Troyes |
86.96% ( 1.15) | 8.96% ( -0.76) | 4.07% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 44.85% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.46% ( 2.27) | 25.54% ( -2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.38% ( 2.88) | 45.62% ( -2.88) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.15% ( 0.56) | 3.85% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.61% ( 1.77) | 16.39% ( -1.77) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.65% ( 0.36) | 53.35% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.13% ( 0.23) | 86.87% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Troyes |
| 3-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.64)4-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.32)1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.7)5-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.3)6-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.09)7-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.23)5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.11)7-1 @ 1% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.77% Total : 86.95% | 1-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.56% Total : 8.96% | 1-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.07% |
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