Given that only two sides have picked up fewer points than Clermont and Ajaccio across the past 10 games, Sunday's clash looks destined to be a cagey affair.
With that in mind, we expect Clermont and Ajaccio to play out a goalless draw at the Stade Gabriel-Montpied, with the visitors failing to score for an eighth time in 10 league outings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
