MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 19:34:39
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Thursday, March 28
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PL
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Parc des Princes
IB

PSG
5 - 1
Istanbul

Neymar (21', 38', 50'), Mbappe (42' pen., 62')
Pembele (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Topal (57')
Tekdemir (10'), Da Silva (12'), Buruk (13'), Gunok (42'), Crivelli (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
62.76%19.36%17.87%
Both teams to score 60.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.61%34.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69%56.3%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.48%10.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.81%34.19%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56%32.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04%68.95%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 62.76%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 17.87%
    Draw 19.36%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 7.31%
3-0 @ 6.5%
4-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 3.66%
4-2 @ 2.32%
5-1 @ 1.86%
5-0 @ 1.65%
5-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 62.76%
1-1 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 5.48%
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.36%
1-2 @ 4.87%
0-1 @ 3.84%
0-2 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 17.87%

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