Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
