While Clermont command plenty of respect from their title-winning hosts, Gastien's side realistically only have pride to play for, and recent shortcomings on their travels will do them no favours whatsoever.
PSG's depleted defence is hardly impenetrable on the Parc des Princes turf, but in what will likely be the farewell match of Galtier, Messi and others, the champions should grind out a professional win to give their departing contingent the perfect send-off.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
1.44) 
-0.81) 
