SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
20.49% ( 0.17) | 21.5% ( 0.03) | 58% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.09) | 40.45% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( 0.09) | 62.82% ( -0.09) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.22) | 33.37% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( 0.24) | 70% ( -0.24) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( -0.03) | 13.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.05% ( -0.06) | 40.94% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 58% |
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