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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Route de Lorient
PL

Rennes
1 - 0
PSG

Traore (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Not many teams can proudly boast to come away from Roazhon Park with all three points to their name, but all the ingredients are there for a crucial PSG win, as Rennes work around the absence of their top scorer and a double suspension blow. While we do not expect the hosts' magnificent goalscoring streak in front of their own fans to come to an end, the famed PSG trident is sure to expose Rennes' recent defensive shortcomings, and we can only envisage the champions returning to base with another win under their belts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawParis Saint-Germain
23.72% (-0.432 -0.43) 20.93% (-0.164 -0.16) 55.36% (0.598 0.6)
Both teams to score 64.34% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.45% (0.312 0.31)33.56% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.64% (0.353 0.35)55.36% (-0.353 -0.35)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)26.69% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05% (-0.21 -0.21)61.95% (0.211 0.21)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77% (0.277 0.28)12.23% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (0.574 0.57)37.94% (-0.571 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 23.72%
    Paris Saint-Germain 55.36%
    Draw 20.93%
RennesDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.31% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 23.72%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.67% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.05% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.5% (0.076 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.047 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.04 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 55.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nice
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 3-1 Rennes
Thursday, December 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Feyenoord
Friday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rennes 4-3 Celtic
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, November 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Angers
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chateauroux 1-3 PSG
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 3-1 PSG
Sunday, January 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Strasbourg
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Quevilly
Wednesday, December 21 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Paris FC
Friday, December 16 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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