Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
23.72% ( -0.43) | 20.93% ( -0.16) | 55.36% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 64.34% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.45% ( 0.31) | 33.56% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.64% ( 0.35) | 55.36% ( -0.35) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( -0.16) | 26.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.05% ( -0.21) | 61.95% ( 0.21) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.77% ( 0.28) | 12.23% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.06% ( 0.57) | 37.94% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 55.36% |
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