Reims have proven to be a tough nut to crack for several top-five chasing teams in recent weeks, but their continued struggles in front of goal with Ekitike sidelined could bedevil them once again.
Genesio's Rennes need no lessons in breaking down a staunch rearguard and have enjoyed the rare luxury of a full week off, so we can only back Les Rouge et Noir to boost their Champions League hopes and end their hoodoo in this fixture with a convincing win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Reims had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
