With the hosts now feeling comfortable and the visitors fighting to keep their European hopes alive, we lean towards an away win at the weekend. Lens find themselves in an impressive run of form, and we see them continuing that with a victory being much-needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Lens
35.71% ( 0.02)	27.98% ( 0)	36.31% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.82% (

-0.01)

58.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.17% (

-0)

78.83% (

0.01)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

0.01)

31.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

0.01)

67.32% (

-0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.37% (

-0.02)

30.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.12% (

-0.02)

66.87% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Troyes 35.71%

Lens 36.3%

Draw 27.97%

Troyes	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.71%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.3%