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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
M

Lens
2 - 0
Montpellier

Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Buoyed by a derby victory, Lens will carry momentum into Wednesday's contest, and we think the motivation of a top-five finish will inspire them to victory over a Montpellier side who are experiencing a poor run of form after losing two of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
64.97%19.83%15.2%
Both teams to score 52.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18%41.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77%64.23%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.89%12.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.32%37.68%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79%40.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16%76.84%
Score Analysis
    Lens 64.97%
    Montpellier HSC 15.2%
    Draw 19.83%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.85%
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 6.96%
4-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.17%
5-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 64.97%
1-1 @ 9.37%
0-0 @ 4.87%
2-2 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.44%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 15.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Lens
Saturday, April 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Nice
Sunday, April 10 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Lens
Sunday, April 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Clermont
Saturday, March 19 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Lens
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Brest
Saturday, March 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Reims
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, April 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Brest
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Saturday, March 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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