Buoyed by a derby victory, Lens will carry momentum into Wednesday's contest, and we think the motivation of a top-five finish will inspire them to victory over a Montpellier side who are experiencing a poor run of form after losing two of their last three matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.
