Buoyed by a derby victory, Lens will carry momentum into Wednesday's contest, and we think the motivation of a top-five finish will inspire them to victory over a Montpellier side who are experiencing a poor run of form after losing two of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
64.97%	19.83%	15.2%

Both teams to score 52.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18%

41.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77%

64.23%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.89%

12.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.32%

37.68%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.79%

40.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16%

76.84%

Score Analysis

Lens 64.97%

Montpellier HSC 15.2%

Draw 19.83%

Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.85% 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.17% 5-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.56% Total : 64.97%	1-1 @ 9.37% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.83%	0-1 @ 4.44% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.81% Total : 15.2%