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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
BL

Lyon
2 - 2
Brest

Depay (69' pen.), Cornet (81')
De Sciglio (15'), Lopes (90'), Paqueta (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopes (39' og.), Faivre (90+2' pen.)
Lasne (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawBrest
60.39%21.45%18.16%
Both teams to score 53.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26%43.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87%66.12%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95%14.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39%41.61%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26%37.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49%74.51%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 60.38%
    Brest 18.16%
    Draw 21.44%
LyonDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 6.51%
4-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-2 @ 1.56%
5-0 @ 1.29%
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 60.38%
1-1 @ 10.13%
0-0 @ 5.3%
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 5.17%
1-2 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.16%

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