SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
65.58% ( -0.87) | 18.35% ( 0.31) | 16.07% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.09% ( -0.38) | 32.91% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.38% ( -0.44) | 54.62% ( 0.45) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.59% ( -0.3) | 9.41% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.34% ( -0.72) | 31.66% ( 0.72) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.42) | 33.52% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( 0.46) | 70.16% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.77% Total : 65.58% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.07% |
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