Montpellier took 14 points from their final six away games last season, and after getting their first win under Gasset before the break, this could be the perfect chance to open their account on the road.
Saint-Etienne's record at home is evidently their strong point, but form in general has been hugely underwhelming, and while they are favourites here, it is unlikely to be plain sailing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
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