Given the major improvement enjoyed by the hosts, we predict an interesting encounter on Saturday and would not be surprised to see Dupraz's men come away with a result.
On the whole, though, we just give Les Olympiens the edge given the impressive quality throughout their squad and back them to return home with a hard-fought win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
