SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
38.12% ( -3.17) | 24.33% ( -0.18) | 37.54% ( 3.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% ( 1.27) | 42.48% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( 1.26) | 64.89% ( -1.26) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.98) | 22.25% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( -1.5) | 55.69% ( 1.51) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( 2.41) | 22.54% ( -2.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( 3.46) | 56.12% ( -3.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.68)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.69)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.44)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.49)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.4)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.54% |
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