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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
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St Etienne
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Boudebouz (4'), Khazri (34')
Youssouf (45+1'), Kolodziejczak (50'), Mangala (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Diallo (21'), Perrin (30')
Djiku (17'), Perrin (66')

We said: Saint-Etienne 1-2 Strasbourg

All things considered, this has all the makings of an entertaining clash, and we cannot conclusively dismiss Saint-Etienne's chances. Nevertheless, we have been impressed by Strasbourg's character in recent weeks, leading to us predicting a narrow win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawStrasbourg
27.93%25.56%46.5%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04%50.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17%72.82%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27%32.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72%69.28%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09%21.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83%55.16%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 27.93%
    Strasbourg 46.5%
    Draw 25.56%
Saint-EtienneDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 27.93%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 10.88%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-2 @ 8.26%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.5%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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