SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
63.74% ( -1.16) | 19.74% ( 0.44) | 16.52% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.2% ( -0.63) | 38.8% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.89% ( -0.67) | 61.11% ( 0.67) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( -0.49) | 11.55% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.52% ( -1.07) | 36.48% ( 1.07) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( 0.49) | 36.67% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% ( 0.49) | 73.46% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.12% Total : 63.74% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.34% Total : 16.52% |
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