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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
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Strasbourg
2 - 0
Montpellier

Diallo (1', 45')
Lienard (37'), Diallo (75'), Sels (84')
Aholou (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fayad (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 2-2 Montpellier HSC

Despite both struggling, Strasbourg and Montpellier have been able to find the net with some regularity this season. Defence is where their issues lie, so that could mean goals will be in plentiful supply here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawMontpellier HSC
50.73% (0.395 0.39) 25.29% (-0.259 -0.26) 23.97% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.9% (0.601 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (0.864 0.86)52.72% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (0.733 0.73)74.36% (-0.738 -0.74)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.51499999999999 0.51)20.79% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (0.809 0.81)53.45% (-0.813 -0.81)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (0.348 0.35)36.99% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.346 0.35)73.78% (-0.351 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 50.72%
    Montpellier HSC 23.97%
    Draw 25.29%
StrasbourgDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.066999999999998 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-3 Troyes
Monday, January 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Strasbourg
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-3 Nantes
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 6-1 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Marseille
Monday, January 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Montpellier
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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