Troyes will be keen to avoid bowing out of the top flight on a whimper and will hope to secure at least one victory from their final two home games to give their supporters something to cheer about.
However, Strasbourg have hit a strong run of form at a crucial stage in their season and we believe that the Racers will run out comfortable winners, securing their Ligue 1 status in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
1.3) 
-2.08) 
