Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Angers had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
-0.27) 
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