Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Laval had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Laval win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.
0.41) 
-0.62) 
