Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 35.13%. A win for Laval had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 2-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Laval win was 0-1 (13.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.