Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
-0.22) 
0.34) 
