Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Paris FC
36.38% ( -0.22)	29.87% ( -0.12)	33.75% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 42.43% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.27% (

0.39)

64.73% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.3% (

0.27)

83.7% (

-0.27)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04% (

0.06)

33.96% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.36% (

0.06)

70.63% (

-0.06)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

0.46)

35.75% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

0.47)

72.52% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 36.38%

Paris FC 33.74%

Draw 29.85%

Ajaccio	Draw	Paris FC
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.38%	1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.85%	0-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.74%