Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
-4.13) 
0.13) 
