Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Troyes in this match.
