Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.
-0.48) 
0.5) 
