SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Dijon | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 12 | Bastia | 38 | 2 | 46 |
| 13 | Niort | 38 | -3 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Valenciennes | 38 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Rodez AF | 38 | -10 | 43 |
| 18 | Quevilly | 38 | -20 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Rodez AF |
| 51.63% | 26.7% | 21.67% |
| Both teams to score 43.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.25% | 59.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.96% | 80.05% |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% | 23.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.72% | 57.28% |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.79% | 43.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.53% | 79.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bastia | Draw | Rodez AF |
| 1-0 @ 14.67% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 4.35% 4-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.05% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.67% |
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