Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 42.68%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Niort had a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
Niort	Draw	Bastia
27.43%	29.88% ( -0)	42.68% ( 0)

Both teams to score 40.47% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.85% (

66.14% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.31% (

84.68% (

-0)

Niort Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.53% (

41.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.03% (

77.97% (

-0)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

30.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

67.13% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Niort 27.43%

Bastia 42.68%

Draw 29.88%

Niort	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.21% Total : 27.43%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 12.79% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.88%	0-1 @ 15.04% 0-2 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.68%